Politics · 71 markets
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Vol total$1.1M
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$797K
Resolves134d
Outcomes · most likely first
🇺🇸
Gavin Newsom
$75K vol·-1%·7d
12.5%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 88¢
🇺🇸
Donald Trump
$61K vol·+1%·7d
6.9%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🇺🇸
Kamala Harris
$56K vol·-1%·7d
10.0%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 90¢
🇺🇸
Hunter Biden
$55K vol·+2%·7d
5.1%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇺🇸
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$48K vol·+2%·7d
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🇺🇸
Zohran Mamdani
$36K vol·+0%·7d
2.8%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇺🇸
Ivanka Trump
$35K vol·+0%·7d
3.8%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
J.D. Vance
$31K vol·-1%·7d
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇺🇸
MrBeast
$29K vol·-0%·7d
2.3%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇺🇸
Tucker Carlson
$28K vol·-5%·7d
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🎯
Erika Kirk
$26K vol·-1%·7d
3.8%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Jon Ossoff
$22K vol·-0%·7d
3.3%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇺🇸
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$20K vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇺🇸
Kristi Noem
$20K vol·+0%·7d
4.1%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Rand Paul
$20K vol·-1%·7d
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Andy Beshear
$19K vol·-3%·7d
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇺🇸
Stephen A. Smith
$17K vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇺🇸
Steve Bannon
$17K vol·-1%·7d
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇺🇸
LeBron James
$16K vol·-1%·7d
2.9%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇺🇸
Ted Cruz
$16K vol·-2%·7d
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🇺🇸
Cory Booker
$16K vol·-0%·7d
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇺🇸
Mike Pence
$16K vol·-1%·7d
2.4%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇺🇸
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$15K vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Pete Buttigieg
$15K vol·-1%·7d
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🇺🇸
Michelle Obama
$14K vol·+0%·7d
2.1%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇺🇸
Rahm Emanuel
$13K vol·-1%·7d
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🇺🇸
Marco Rubio
$11K vol·-2%·7d
3.1%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇺🇸
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
$11K vol·-2%·7d
2.1%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇺🇸
Josh Shapiro
$10K vol·-1%·7d
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Mark Kelly
$10K vol·-1%·7d
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇺🇸
Elon Musk
$9K vol·-1%·7d
2.4%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇺🇸
Candace Owens
$9K vol·-4%·7d
2.9%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇺🇸
Mark Cuban
$9K vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🇺🇸
Vivek Ramaswamy
$8K vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🇺🇸
Josh Hawley
$8K vol·+0%·7d
2.6%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇺🇸
Donald Trump Jr.
$7K vol·+3%·7d
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇺🇸
John Fetterman
$7K vol·+3%·7d
3.6%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Wes Moore
$7K vol·-0%·7d
2.8%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇺🇸
Glenn Youngkin
$6K vol·+2%·7d
7.6%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🇺🇸
George Clooney
$5K vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🇺🇸
John Thune
$5K vol·+1%·7d
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Gretchen Whitmer
$4K vol·+1%·7d
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇺🇸
Gina Raimondo
$4K vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Greg Abbott
$4K vol·-1%·7d
3.6%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Nikki Haley
$4K vol·+0%·7d
4.2%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
J.B. Pritzker
$4K vol·+1%·7d
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🇺🇸
Jon Stewart
$4K vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇺🇸
Brian Kemp
$3K vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🇺🇸
Raphael Warnock
$3K vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🇺🇸
Matt Gaetz
$3K vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇺🇸
Liz Cheney
$3K vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇺🇸
Ron DeSantis
$2K vol·+0%·7d
3.3%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇺🇸
Don Lemon
$2K vol·-0%·7d
8.7%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🇺🇸
Katie Britt
$26K vol·-0%·7d
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇺🇸
Oprah Winfrey
$17K vol·-1%·7d
0.8%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇺🇸
Andrew Yang
$14K vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇺🇸
Hillary Clinton
$14K vol·-1%·7d
1.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇺🇸
Chelsea Clinton
$13K vol·-0%·7d
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇺🇸
Barack Obama
$11K vol·-0%·7d
1.6%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇺🇸
Byron Donalds
$10K vol·+0%·7d
1.9%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
Beto O’Rourke
$10K vol·-0%·7d
1.8%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇺🇸
Tom Brady
$10K vol·+0%·7d
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢
🇺🇸
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
$8K vol·+1%·7d
1.4%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇺🇸
Roy Cooper
$7K vol·-0%·7d
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇺🇸
Kim Kardashian
$7K vol·+0%·7d
2.0%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇺🇸
Tulsi Gabbard
$6K vol
1.9%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇺🇸
Jared Polis
$6K vol·-0%·7d
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇺🇸
Tim Walz
$6K vol·+0%·7d
1.6%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇺🇸
Bernie Sanders
$4K vol·-0%·7d
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇺🇸
Phil Murphy
$4K vol·-0%·7d
1.6%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇺🇸
Elise Stefanik
$4K vol·-1%·7d
1.8%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.