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Culture · 4 markets

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Vol total$2.0M
Vol 24h$18K
Liquidity$126K
Resolves134d

Outcomes · most likely first

🦸
Avengers: Doomsday
$269K vol·+2%·7d
31.5%
chance
Yes 32¢ · No 69¢
🕷️
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$161K vol·-8%·7d
63.5%
chance
Yes 64¢ · No 37¢
🏜️
Dune: Messiah
$133K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🏹
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$74K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.