Politics · 12 markets
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Vol total$1.6M
Vol 24h$13K
Liquidity$232K
Resolves134d
Outcomes · most likely first
🇹🇷
Turkey
$486K vol·+0%·7d
5.1%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇸🇦
Saudi Arabia
$292K vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🇴🇲
Oman
$179K vol·-0%·7d
4.3%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇦🇿
Azerbaijan
$169K vol·-1%·7d
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇸🇾
Syria
$164K vol·-1%·7d
7.6%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🎯
Somaliland
$116K vol·-8%·7d
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🇱🇧
Lebanon
$77K vol
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🇰🇼
Kuwait
$64K vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🇯🇴
Jordan
$10K vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇵🇰
Pakistan
$9K vol·-1%·7d
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇶🇦
Qatar
$9K vol·-3%·7d
5.3%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇪🇬
Egypt
$7K vol·-3%·7d
5.9%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.