Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Vol total$400K
Vol 24h$61
Liquidity$97K
Resolves89d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first17 questions
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "United Kingdom" before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.