Politics · 17 markets
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
Vol total$367K
Vol 24h$987
Liquidity$177K
Resolves134d
Outcomes · most likely first
🇵🇰
Pakistan
$105K vol·+1%·7d
11.0%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 89¢
🇮🇳
India
$68K vol·-4%·7d
17.0%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 83¢
🇰🇷
South Korea
$59K vol·-2%·7d
11.2%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 89¢
🇹🇼
Taiwan
$33K vol·-1%·7d
15.8%
chance
Yes 16¢ · No 84¢
🇦🇷
Argentina
$23K vol
12.0%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🇮🇩
Indonesia
$20K vol·-3%·7d
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🇯🇵
Japan
$17K vol·-2%·7d
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🇪🇺
European Union
$13K vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇻🇳
Vietnam
$7K vol·+1%·7d
12.0%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🇦🇺
Australia
$6K vol·+1%·7d
12.5%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 88¢
🇧🇷
Brazil
$5K vol·-3%·7d
8.1%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🇨🇦
Canada
$4K vol·-9%·7d
15.0%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🇲🇽
Mexico
$3K vol
12.5%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 88¢
🇷🇺
Russia
$2K vol·-1%·7d
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🇬🇧
United Kingdom
$563 vol·-1%·7d
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🇮🇱
Israel
$502 vol·-3%·7d
16.5%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 84¢
🇿🇦
South Africa
$438 vol·-1%·7d
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.