Politics · 11 markets
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Vol total$757K
Vol 24h$629
Liquidity$105K
Resolves133d
Outcomes · most likely first
🇦🇹
Austria
$173K vol·-2%·7d
4.7%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇩🇪
Germany
$130K vol·+0%·7d
4.9%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇳🇿
New Zealand
$124K vol
12.0%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 88¢
🇧🇪
Belgium
$79K vol·-4%·7d
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🎯
The Netherlands
$62K vol·-6%·7d
10.0%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 90¢
🇯🇵
Japan
$49K vol·+1%·7d
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
🇬🇷
Greece
$47K vol·-0%·7d
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇫🇮
Finland
$38K vol·-1%·7d
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
🇮🇹
Italy
$28K vol·-3%·7d
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🇺🇸
United States
$26K vol·-1%·7d
7.3%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🇮🇱
Israel
$292 vol·-0%·7d
3.4%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
Resolution rules
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Palestine as a state by December 31, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Palestine will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.