Politics · 16 markets
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Vol total$697K
Vol 24h$9K
Liquidity$316K
Resolves135d
Outcomes · most likely first
🇻🇪
Venezuela
$328K vol·-6%·7d
10.5%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 90¢
🇱🇧
Lebanon
$109K vol·-3%·7d
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
🇸🇦
Saudi Arabia
$58K vol·-3%·7d
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🇶🇦
Qatar
$35K vol·+1%·7d
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇸🇾
Syria
$20K vol·-1%·7d
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Afghanistan
$19K vol·+0%·7d
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇰🇵
North Korea
$19K vol·+2%·7d
4.9%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇮🇩
Indonesia
$17K vol·+1%·7d
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
🇰🇼
Kuwait
$14K vol·-1%·7d
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇮🇷
Iran
$12K vol·+1%·7d
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🇮🇶
Iraq
$12K vol·-0%·7d
4.3%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇹🇳
Tunisia
$12K vol
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🇲🇾
Malaysia
$12K vol·+0%·7d
3.9%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Bangladesh
$12K vol·-1%·7d
4.3%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇵🇰
Pakistan
$9K vol·-1%·7d
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Cuba
$9K vol·-0%·7d
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.