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Politics · 16 markets

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Vol total$824K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$381K
Resolves89d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first16 questions

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Qatar recognize Israel by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Afghanistan recognize Israel by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Malaysia recognize Israel by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Bangladesh recognize Israel by December 31?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.