All events
Politics · 21 markets

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Vol total$615K
Vol 24h$284
Liquidity$19K
Resolves134d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇹🇼
Taiwan
$85K vol·+2%·7d
5.3%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇮🇹
Italy
$31K vol·-6%·7d
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🇱🇧
Lebanon
$30K vol·-2%·7d
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🇮🇱
Israel
$29K vol
19.0%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 81¢
🇩🇪
Germany
$18K vol·-8%·7d
34.0%
chance
Yes 34¢ · No 66¢
🇯🇵
Japan
$15K vol·-3%·7d
19.0%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 81¢
🇮🇳
India
$15K vol·+6%·7d
12.5%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 88¢
🇰🇵
North Korea
$14K vol·+1%·7d
10.5%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 90¢
🇷🇺
Russia
$12K vol·-1%·7d
5.6%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇰🇷
South Korea
$11K vol·+17%·7d
34.0%
chance
Yes 34¢ · No 66¢
🇮🇪
Ireland
$9K vol·+8%·7d
92.0%
chance
Yes 92¢ · No 8¢
🇵🇰
Pakistan
$8K vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🇺🇦
Ukraine
$7K vol·-3%·7d
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇲🇽
Mexico
$6K vol·+1%·7d
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇨🇦
Canada
$4K vol·+1%·7d
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇧🇾
Belarus
$4K vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇴🇲
Oman
$3K vol·-2%·7d
12.5%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 88¢
🇸🇾
Syria
$1K vol·-6%·7d
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🇸🇦
Saudi Arabia
$769 vol·+25%·7d
49.5%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 51¢
🇻🇪
Venezuela
$185 vol·-2%·7d
10.5%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 90¢
🇵🇹
Portugal
$9 vol·-3%·7d
29.5%
chance
Yes 30¢ · No 71¢

Resolution rules

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.