All events
Tech & AI · 20 markets

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Vol total$171K
Vol 24h$203
Liquidity$12K
Resolves134d

Outcomes · most likely first

🛸
Anduril
$42K vol·-10%·7d
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🔬
Rigetti
$25K vol·+5%·7d
76.3%
chance
Yes 76¢ · No 24¢
🟢
Nvidia
$16K vol·-1%·7d
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🇹🇼
TSMC
$14K vol·-2%·7d
12.5%
chance
Yes 13¢ · No 88¢
🧠
OpenAI
$10K vol·+28%·7d
45.0%
chance
Yes 45¢ · No 55¢
🇰🇷
Samsung Electronics
$10K vol·+0%·7d
4.8%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
✈️
Boeing
$10K vol·-4%·7d
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🏭
GlobalFoundries
$6K vol·+2%·7d
88.6%
chance
Yes 89¢ · No 11¢
💊
Pfizer
$6K vol·-1%·7d
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎵
TikTok US / Bytedance
$6K vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🤖
Anthropic
$6K vol·-3%·7d
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🌊
D-Wave
$4K vol·+3%·7d
81.0%
chance
Yes 81¢ · No 19¢
🔮
Palantir
$3K vol·-6%·7d
11.0%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 89¢
💊
Eli Lilly
$3K vol·-5%·7d
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
⛏️
Freeport-McMoRan
$3K vol
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
⚛️
IonQ
$2K vol·+1%·7d
19.5%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 81¢
🚀
Lockheed Martin
$2K vol·+11%·7d
31.0%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
💾
Micron
$2K vol·-1%·7d
8.5%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 92¢
🚀
SpaceX
$18 vol·-1%·7d
11.5%
chance
Yes 12¢ · No 89¢
🤖
Unusual Machines
$3 vol·+10%·7d
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.