Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first15 questions
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Perplexity AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Lovable announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Xerox announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Workhorse announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will JetBlue Airways announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will C3.ai announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Rivian announce bankruptcy before 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Anthropic?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will JC Penney announce bankruptcy before 2027?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or not the actual filing occurs.
The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, including a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or any other individual or team that officially represents the company.
A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.