All events
Tech & AI · 21 markets

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Vol total$15K
Vol 24h$281
Liquidity$5K
Resolves134d

Outcomes · most likely first

🏛️
Boston, MA
$3K vol·+1%·7d
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
🌲
Portland, OR
$2K vol
10.5%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 90¢
🎰
Las Vegas, NV
$2K vol·+1%·7d
82.5%
chance
Yes 83¢ · No 18¢
🌅
Tampa, FL
$2K vol·+0%·7d
89.0%
chance
Yes 89¢ · No 11¢
❄️
Minneapolis, MN
$1K vol·-1%·7d
19.5%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 81¢
🏛️
Washington, DC
$1K vol·+1%·7d
20.5%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 80¢
🌆
Chicago, IL
$742 vol·+6%·7d
46.5%
chance
Yes 47¢ · No 54¢
San Diego, CA
$551 vol·+3%·7d
86.0%
chance
Yes 86¢ · No 14¢
🏙️
Baltimore, MD
$511 vol·-12%·7d
33.0%
chance
Yes 33¢ · No 67¢
🏔️
Denver, CO
$495 vol·+24%·7d
76.0%
chance
Yes 76¢ · No 24¢
🏛️
Sacramento, CA
$404 vol·+17%·7d
56.5%
chance
Yes 56¢ · No 44¢
🗽
New York, NY
$399 vol·+10%·7d
34.0%
chance
Yes 34¢ · No 66¢
🏢
Pittsburgh, PA
$104 vol
56.5%
chance
Yes 56¢ · No 44¢
🌧️
Seattle, WA
$99 vol·-1%·7d
16.5%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 84¢
🏭
Detroit, MI
$95 vol·-12%·7d
44.0%
chance
Yes 44¢ · No 56¢
🏙️
Charlotte, NC
$75 vol·+1%·7d
60.5%
chance
Yes 61¢ · No 40¢
🇬🇧
London, UK
$74 vol·+4%·7d
38.0%
chance
Yes 38¢ · No 62¢
🎷
New Orleans, LA
$61 vol·+4%·7d
51.5%
chance
Yes 52¢ · No 49¢
🇯🇵
Tokyo, Japan
$20 vol·+5%·7d
45.5%
chance
Yes 46¢ · No 55¢
🔔
Philadelphia, PA
$0 vol·+6%·7d
48.0%
chance
Yes 48¢ · No 52¢
🌉
St. Louis, MO
$0 vol·+6%·7d
49.0%
chance
Yes 49¢ · No 51¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.