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Culture · 23 markets

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Vol total$182K
Vol 24h$420
Liquidity$8K
Resolves87d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first23 questions

Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Playboi Carti have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Jack Harlow have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 2, 2027.

Will The Weeknd have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 2, 2027.

Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 2, 2027.

Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 2, 2027.

Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 2, 2027.

Will A$AP Rocky have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Kanye West have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 2, 2027.

Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Peso Pluma have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart. Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.

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