All events
Economy · 20 markets

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Vol total$1.8M
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$171K
Resolves134d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
↓ 2.75%
$359K vol·+0%·7d
2.9%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
↓ 3.0%
$310K vol·-0%·7d
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
↓ 2.5%
$211K vol·+0%·7d
3.9%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
↑ 5.25%
$142K vol
2.6%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
↓ 0.25%
$131K vol·-1%·7d
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
↑ 4.25%
$119K vol·-10%·7d
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
↓ 3.25%
$81K vol·+1%·7d
10.5%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 90¢
🎯
↑ 4.75%
$80K vol·-2%·7d
3.6%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
↑ 5.5%
$52K vol·-0%·7d
2.6%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
↓ 2.25%
$40K vol·-0%·7d
3.4%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
↑ 4.5%
$32K vol·-3%·7d
2.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
↓ 1.5%
$28K vol·-0%·7d
3.4%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
↓ 0%
$19K vol·-0%·7d
2.4%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
↓ 2.0%
$19K vol·+1%·7d
3.9%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
↑ 5.0%
$17K vol·+0%·7d
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
↓ 1.75%
$12K vol·-1%·7d
2.1%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
↓ 0.5%
$105K vol·-2%·7d
1.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
↓ 1.25%
$4K vol·-0%·7d
1.2%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
↓ 1.0%
$2K vol·-3%·7d
1.4%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
↓ 0.75%
$731 vol·-2%·7d
1.8%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered. The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.