Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first6 questions
Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?