Outcomes · most likely first 9 questions
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?most traded YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES10.3% chance $10 → $96.62+$86.62 profit if rightNO89.6% chance $10 → $11.15+$1.15 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES15.3% chance $10 → $65.36+$55.36 profit if rightNO84.7% chance $10 → $11.81+$1.81 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES37.5% chance $10 → $26.67+$16.67 profit if rightNO62.5% chance $10 → $16.00+$6.00 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Lighter reach $12 before 2027?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES5.5% chance $10 → $181.82+$171.82 profit if rightNO94.5% chance $10 → $10.58+$0.58 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Lighter dip to $3 before 2027?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES59.5% chance $10 → $16.81+$6.81 profit if rightNO40.5% chance $10 → $24.69+$14.69 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES30.5% chance $10 → $32.79+$22.79 profit if rightNO69.5% chance $10 → $14.39+$4.39 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Lighter reach $15 before 2027?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES6% chance $10 → $165.29+$155.29 profit if rightNO94% chance $10 → $10.64+$0.64 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Lighter reach $20 before 2027?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES2.3% chance $10 → $434.78+$424.78 profit if rightNO97.7% chance $10 → $10.24+$0.24 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Lighter dip to $2 before 2027?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES18.5% chance $10 → $54.05+$44.05 profit if rightNO81.5% chance $10 → $12.27+$2.27 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.