All events
Politics · 16 markets

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Vol total$95.7M
Vol 24h$6K
Liquidity$1.6M
Resolves134d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇻🇪
Nicolás Maduro
$2.8M vol·+0%·7d
82.3%
chance
Yes 82¢ · No 18¢
🇻🇪
Delcy Rodríguez
$1.8M vol·+1%·7d
10.0%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 90¢
🇻🇪
María Corina Machado
$1.4M vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇺🇸
Richard Grenell
$32.7M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Frank Donovan
$25.8M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇺🇸
Pete Hegseth
$9.2M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Evan Pettus
$5.6M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Dan Caine
$4.1M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇻🇪
Dinorah Figuera
$3.0M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇻🇪
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$2.1M vol·-0%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
No Head of State
$1.5M vol·+0%·7d
1.2%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇺🇸
Marco Rubio
$1.4M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇻🇪
Edmundo González
$1.2M vol·-0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇻🇪
Jorge Rodríguez
$1.2M vol·-0%·7d
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇺🇸
Donald Trump
$1.1M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇻🇪
Vladimir Padrino López
$817K vol
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.