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Politics · 16 markets

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Vol total$98.0M
Vol 24h$9K
Liquidity$2.0M
Resolves90d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first16 questions

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela. If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa). In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position. If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: this market is mutually exclusive.

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