Economy · Ends Dec 31

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

2.5 - 3.0M is the favorite at 28% (up 2.5 points in 24 hours), then 3.0 - 3.5M at 24% and 2.0 - 2.5M at 20%.

Bonbast: past results and how often the favorite won →

What do you think happens?

Only one of these will happen. YES = it happens · NO = it doesn't.

2.5 - 3.0M▲ 3 today

3.0 - 3.5M▲ 3 today

2.0 - 2.5M▼ 2 today

3.5 - 4.0M

<2.0M

4.0M+

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “2.5 - 3.0M” at 28% → if it happens you get $36.36 (+$26.36). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result (bonbast.com) when the question closes on Dec 31, 2026, US Eastern time. Source ↗

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for December 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered. If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.

$123K traded since it opened · $2K today