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Culture · 25 markets

TIME Person of the Year 2026

Vol total$100K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$550K
Resolves271d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first25 questions

Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Mark Carney be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Will Dario Amodei be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Will Marco Rubio be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Sam Altman be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Jerome Powell be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Péter Magyar be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Bad Bunny be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Will Christina Koch be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Jeremy Hansen be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Will Shehbaz Sharif be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will ChatGPT be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Taylor Swift be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Victor Glover be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Reid Wiseman be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will James Talarico be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Will Alysa Liu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Will Ali Khamenei be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.

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