Tech & AI · 5 markets

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

Vol total$1.3M

Vol 24h$3K

Liquidity$55K

Resolves455d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first5 questions

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2028.

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jul 1, 2027.

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Mar 1, 2027.

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Feb 1, 2027.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.