All events
Tech & AI · 6 markets

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

Vol total$1.1M
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$57K
Resolves134d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
September 30, 2026
$334K vol·+1%·7d
6.4%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
December 31, 2026
$131K vol·+1%·7d
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🎯
December 31, 2027
$5K vol
54.5%
chance
Yes 55¢ · No 46¢
🎯
June 30, 2027
$4K vol
31.5%
chance
Yes 32¢ · No 69¢
🎯
January 31, 2027
$1K vol
20.5%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 80¢
🎯
February 28, 2027
$939 vol
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Tesla, Inc. will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with SpaceX, or vice versa, by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by Tesla or SpaceX within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.