Outcomes · most likely first 9 questions
USD1 depeg by December 31?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES5.5% chance $10 → $181.82+$171.82 profit if rightNO94.5% chance $10 → $10.58+$0.58 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
USDE depeg by December 31?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES3.7% chance $10 → $270.27+$260.27 profit if rightNO96.3% chance $10 → $10.38+$0.38 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
DAI depeg by December 31?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES4% chance $10 → $250.00+$240.00 profit if rightNO96% chance $10 → $10.42+$0.42 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
GHO depeg by December 31?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES2.7% chance $10 → $370.37+$360.37 profit if rightNO97.3% chance $10 → $10.28+$0.28 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
PYUSD depeg by December 31?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES6.7% chance $10 → $149.25+$139.25 profit if rightNO93.3% chance $10 → $10.72+$0.72 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
USD0 depeg by December 31?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES20% chance $10 → $50.00+$40.00 profit if rightNO80% chance $10 → $12.50+$2.50 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
USDTb depeg by December 31?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES3.1% chance $10 → $317.46+$307.46 profit if rightNO96.9% chance $10 → $10.33+$0.33 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
USDS depeg by December 31?YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES2.6% chance $10 → $377.36+$367.36 profit if rightNO97.4% chance $10 → $10.27+$0.27 profit if right
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
USDC depeg by December 31?decided · No YES It happens NO It doesn't
YES1.5% chance Didn't happen NO98.6% chance Settled as this side
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.