Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Politics · 4 markets
Somaliland Parliamentary Election Winner
No election before 2027 leads at 98%, followed by Waddani 2% and Justice and Welfare (UCID) <1%. $114K traded in total. Scheduled to resolve Apr 1, 2027.
Vol total$114K
Vol 24h$0
Liquidity$71K
Resolves173d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first4 questions
Will the Waddani Party (Somaliland National Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.
Will the Justice and Welfare Party (UCID) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.
Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.
Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Somaliland in late March 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election. If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027". If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).