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Culture · 11 markets

Oscars 2027: Best Actress Winner

Vol total$100K
Vol 24h$65
Liquidity$36K
Resolves208d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Julianne Moore
$68K vol·-9%·7d
24.5%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 76¢
🎯
Inde Navarrette
$18K vol·-3%·7d
17.5%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 83¢
🎯
Renate Reinsve
$10K vol
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🎯
Sandra Hüller
$3K vol·+7%·7d
15.3%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🎯
Léa Seydoux
$485 vol·-2%·7d
2.9%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Ruth Madeley
$206 vol·-1%·7d
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Michelle Williams
$108 vol·+0%·7d
4.6%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Rachel Brosnahan
$26 vol·-0%·7d
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Virginie Efira
$21 vol·-1%·7d
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Sophie Okonedo
$16 vol·-2%·7d
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇺🇸
Scarlett Johansson
$16 vol·+1%·7d
4.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actress who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.