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Culture · 18 markets

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Winner

Vol total$82K
Vol 24h$737
Liquidity$200K
Resolves208d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇺🇸
Matt Damon
$28K vol
28.5%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 72¢
🎯
Tom Cruise
$8K vol·+1%·7d
29.5%
chance
Yes 30¢ · No 71¢
🎯
Andrew Scott
$8K vol
17.0%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 83¢
🎯
Ryan Gosling
$4K vol·-0%·7d
2.7%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇫🇷
Timothée Chalamet
$3K vol·+2%·7d
3.8%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Robert Pattinson
$3K vol·+3%·7d
9.2%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🇨🇱
Pedro Pascal
$3K vol·+1%·7d
2.1%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
John Malkovich
$2K vol·+1%·7d
8.1%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🎯
Sebastian Stan
$2K vol·+1%·7d
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🎯
Brad Pitt
$7K vol·-0%·7d
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Jaafar Jackson
$3K vol·+1%·7d
0.8%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Sam Rockwell
$2K vol·-2%·7d
1.9%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
Adam Driver
$2K vol·+0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Jeremy Strong
$2K vol·+0%·7d
0.7%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Robert Aramayo
$2K vol·-1%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Javier Bardem
$1K vol·-1%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇬🇧
Josh O'Connor
$1K vol·-0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
John Turturro
$1K vol·-0%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.