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Culture · 18 markets

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Vol total$21K
Vol 24h$407
Liquidity$12K
Resolves153d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Andrew Scott
$4K vol·-8%·7d
65.0%
chance
Yes 65¢ · No 35¢
🎯
Jeremy Strong
$3K vol
10.5%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 90¢
🎯
Ryan Gosling
$3K vol·+2%·7d
53.5%
chance
Yes 54¢ · No 47¢
🎯
Tom Cruise
$3K vol·-5%·7d
62.0%
chance
Yes 62¢ · No 38¢
🇫🇷
Timothée Chalamet
$2K vol·-2%·7d
28.5%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 72¢
🎯
Brad Pitt
$795 vol·-5%·7d
16.5%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 84¢
🎯
Sam Rockwell
$794 vol·+19%·7d
27.1%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 73¢
🇺🇸
Matt Damon
$749 vol·+1%·7d
95.0%
chance
Yes 95¢ · No 5¢
🎯
Sebastian Stan
$551 vol
23.0%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 77¢
🇨🇱
Pedro Pascal
$548 vol·-22%·7d
6.5%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Javier Bardem
$340 vol·-6%·7d
13.7%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
Jaafar Jackson
$235 vol·+1%·7d
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🎯
John Turturro
$202 vol·+17%·7d
39.0%
chance
Yes 39¢ · No 61¢
🎯
Robert Aramayo
$201 vol·+1%·7d
7.8%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🇬🇧
Josh O'Connor
$151 vol·-19%·7d
14.8%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🎯
Robert Pattinson
$120 vol·-2%·7d
47.0%
chance
Yes 47¢ · No 53¢
🎯
John Malkovich
$96 vol·-3%·7d
47.0%
chance
Yes 47¢ · No 53¢
🎯
Adam Driver
$55 vol·-20%·7d
16.5%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 84¢

Resolution rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.