All events
Tech & AI · 7 markets

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

Vol total$2.0M
Vol 24h$227
Liquidity$76K
Resolves135d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
No IPO by December 31, 2026
$442K vol·-7%·7d
78.0%
chance
Yes 78¢ · No 22¢
🎯
1T–1.25T
$217K vol·-0%·7d
3.4%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
750B–1T
$174K vol·+0%·7d
4.7%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
1.5T+
$151K vol·-1%·7d
3.8%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
1.25T–1.5T
$525K vol·+0%·7d
1.8%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
<500B
$304K vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
500–750B
$167K vol·+0%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.