All events
Other · 2 markets

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

Vol total$245K
Vol 24h$143
Liquidity$19K
Resolves225d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
December 31, 2026
$245K vol·-5%·7d
15.0%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🎯
March 31, 2027
$200 vol
28.0%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 72¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.