Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Other · 2 markets
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?
Vol total$281K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$36K
Resolves176d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first2 questions
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by March 31, 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 1, 2027.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.