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Politics · 36 markets

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Vol total$238K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$989K
Resolves198d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first36 questions

Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 19, 2027.

Resolution rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

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