All events
Climate · binary

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Vol total$242K
Vol 24h$680
Liquidity$3K
Resolves130d

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Prediction

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.2850
Shares (est)17.54
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$12.54
If Yes wins pays$17.54
Connecting your wallet… (usually under 2s)

You sign every order from your embedded wallet. Vectorial Data never holds your funds.

Price history+6.00% · 1W
21%23%26%28%31%Aug 16Aug 18Aug 19Aug 21Aug 22Aug 23

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf