Politics · binary

NATO article 5 before 2027?

Vol total$266K

Vol 24h$740

Liquidity$24K

Resolves89d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first1 question

NATO article 5 before 2027?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Resolution rules

If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.