Politics · 2 markets

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Highest odds: December 31, 2026 at 11%, then October 31, 2026 6%. $121K traded in total, $572 in the last 24 hours. Scheduled to resolve Jan 1, 2027.

Vol total$121K

Vol 24h$572

Liquidity$32K

Resolves84d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first2 questions

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

🎯Mike Johnson out as Speaker by October 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.

Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between April 9, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.