Measles cases in U.S. by January 31?
Resolved: 20, 40 +6 more · Feb 1, 2026
$606K traded over the life of the market. Resolution source: the rules below.
| Outcome | Odds 24h before close | Settled |
|---|---|---|
| 300 | 100% | Won · 100% |
| 200 | 100% | Won · 100% |
| 400 | 100% | Won · 100% |
| 175 | 100% | Won · 100% |
| 20 | 100% | Won · 100% |
| 150 | 100% | Won · 100% |
| 40 | 100% | Won · 100% |
| 500 | 98% | Won · 100% |
| 600 | 82% | 0% |
| 650 | 48% | 0% |
| 700 | 12% | 0% |
| 750 | 5% | 0% |
Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.