Politics · Ends Dec 31

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

The market gives “Yes” a 3% chance (down 0.1 points in 24 hours).

What do you think?

Yes = it happens · No = it doesn't

3%chance of Yes, according to the market

Your money, explained

Put $10 on Yes at 3% → if it happens you get $400.00 (+$390.00). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result when the question closes on Dec 31, 2026, US Eastern time.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kim Jong Un ceases to be Supreme Leader of North Korea for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kim Jong Un's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kim Jong Un and the government of North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$200K traded since it opened · $1K today