Politics · binary

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

The market prices “Yes” at 4% (+0.1 pts in 24h). $249K traded in total, $442 in the last 24 hours. Scheduled to resolve Jan 1, 2027.

Vol total$249K

Vol 24h$442

Liquidity$22K

Resolves81d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first1 question

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.