Politics · binary

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Highest odds: December 31 at 13%. $1.1M traded in total, $2K in the last 24 hours. Scheduled to resolve Jan 1, 2027.

Vol total$1.1M

Vol 24h$2K

Liquidity$12K

Resolves82d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first1 question

Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially invokes the Insurrection Act of 1807 by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "invoke" means that the President formally announces the use of the Insurrection Act as legal authority for deploying active-duty U.S. military forces or federalizing the National Guard in response to civil disorder, insurrection, or rebellion. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.