All predictions

Politics · Ends Dec 31

When will Ilhan Omar be federally charged?

Each date is its own question: Yes if the US federal government formally charges or announces an indictment of Ilhan Omar by that date.

On Polymarket as “Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?”

What do you think happens?

Each line is its own yes-or-no question.

By Dec 31▲ 1 today
By Oct 31

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “By Dec 31” at 22% → if it happens you get $45.45 (+$35.45). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

Official US government information is the main source, backed by wide credible reporting, with each date ending at 11:59 PM ET.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Ilhan Omar between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

$102K traded since it opened · $11K today

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