All events
Politics · 3 markets

IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

Vol total$355K
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$70K
Resolves135d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎃
October 31
$79K vol·+1%·7d
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🎆
December 31
$28K vol·-5%·7d
22.0%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 78¢
🎯
August 31
$55K vol·-1%·7d
0.7%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.