Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 4, 2027.
Politics · 7 markets
How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
Vol total$157K
Vol 24h$475
Liquidity$19K
Resolves94d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first7 questions
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 4, 2027.
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 4, 2027.
Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 4, 2027.
Will Trump's approval rating hit 37% in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Trump's approval rating hit 36% in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Will Trump's approval rating hit 34% in 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.