All events
Climate · 4 markets

How low will Lake Powell drop?

Vol total$424
Vol 24h$190
Liquidity$2K
Resolves239d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Below 3,490 ft
$145 vol
30.0%
chance
Yes 30¢ · No 70¢
🎯
3,500–3,510 ft
$114 vol
33.5%
chance
Yes 34¢ · No 67¢
🎯
Above 3,510 ft
$91 vol
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
🎯
3,490–3,500 ft
$74 vol
21.0%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 79¢

Resolution rules

This market resolves based on the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Powell (Glen Canyon Dam) between market creation and March 31, 2027, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation. See each individual market for its bracket and full resolution terms. Because a lower reading can occur at any point up to March 31, 2027, all outcomes are settled after the window closes, based on the lowest daily elevation recorded during the window. The resolution source is the minimum daily lake elevation published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation for Lake Powell at Glen Canyon Dam, available at https://data.usbr.gov/catalog/2362/item/508. USBR data is provisional and subject to revision; the lowest daily elevation reflected in USBR data as of April 15, 2027 governs, and revisions published after April 15, 2027 will not change the outcome. Daily elevation data published at https://lakepowell.water-data.com/ may also be referenced, but if it disagrees with USBR, the USBR value governs.