Politics · 8 markets

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Vol total$226K

Vol 24h$352

Liquidity$9K

Resolves124d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

3.9%

$45K vol·-8%·7d

6.2%

chance

Yes 6¢ · No 94¢

🎯

3.8%

$41K vol·-1%·7d

2.9%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🎯

3.7%

$27K vol·-1%·7d

2.4%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

🎯

3.6%

$6K vol

4.5%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 96¢

🎯

2.0%

$564 vol·-2%·7d

3.2%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🎯

1.0%

$41K vol

1.7%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

🎯

3.5%

$33K vol·-0%·7d

0.9%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

🎯

3.0%

$917 vol

1.9%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).