Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Other · 3 markets
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
Vol total$2.8M
Vol 24h$7K
Liquidity$121K
Resolves89d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first3 questions
November 30, 2026?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 1, 2026.
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.