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Politics · 15 markets

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

Vol total$106K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$141K
Resolves197d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first15 questions

Will Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 18, 2027.

Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 18, 2027.

Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 18, 2027.

Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 18, 2027.

Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 18, 2027.

Will François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 18, 2027.

Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 18, 2027.

Will Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 18, 2027.

Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 18, 2027.

Will Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 18, 2027.

Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 18, 2027.

Will Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 18, 2027.

Will François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 18, 2027.

Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 18, 2027.

Will Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Apr 18, 2027.

Resolution rules

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.