Economy · 7 markets

Fed rate cut by...?

Vol total$3.7M

Vol 24h$2K

Liquidity$247K

Resolves482d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first7 questions

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 29, 2027.

Fed rate cut by January 2027 meeting?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Feb 8, 2027.

Fed rate cut by March 2027 meeting?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Apr 8, 2027.

Fed rate cut by July 2027 meeting?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Aug 8, 2027.

Fed rate cut by April 2027 meeting?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes May 8, 2027.

Fed rate cut by June 2027 meeting?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jul 8, 2027.

Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 29, 2027.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.