Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?most traded
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.
Other · 2 markets
Erdoğan out by...?
Highest odds: December 31, 2027 at 20% (−0.5 pts in 24h), then December 31, 2026 4%. $649K traded in total, $837 in the last 24 hours. Scheduled to resolve Dec 31, 2027.
Vol total$649K
Vol 24h$837
Liquidity$63K
Resolves448d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first2 questions
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2027?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Dec 31, 2027.
Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.