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Economy · 5 markets

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

Vol total$186K
Vol 24h$13K
Liquidity$70K
Resolves26d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first5 questions

📈Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 30, 2026.

➡️No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 30, 2026.

📈📈Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 30, 2026.

📉Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 30, 2026.

📉📉Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 30, 2026.

Resolution rules

The Statement on Monetary Policy for the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy meeting for October is scheduled to be released on October 30, 2026 (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm). This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the short-term policy interest rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Japan's October 2026 meeting. If the short-term policy interest rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of Japan (https://www.boj.or.jp/en/mopo/mpmsche_minu/index.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Japan's statement for the specified meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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