Deportation Count: past results & live odds
Deportation Count is a yearly series of prediction markets listed on Polymarket. This page tracks the event trading now, the results of the last 1 that resolved — with the odds the market gave the winner 24 hours before close — and how often the favorite of that moment actually won.
Trading now
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?400-500k 66% · 300-400k 8% · 200-300k 4% — resolves Mar 1, 2027 · $134K traded
Recent results
| Event | Resolved | Winner | Winner's odds 24h before | Favorite 24h before |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| How many people will Trump deport in 2025? | Mar 1, 2026 | 250-500k | 96% | 250-500k 96% — won |
Sources: settlements and events from Polymarket's public Gamma API; odds 24 hours before close (the earlier of the scheduled end and the actual close) from Polymarket's public CLOB price history. A “—” means the price history doesn't prove it, so that event is left out of the favorite count rather than estimated.