Bank of Canada decision: past results & live odds
Bank of Canada decision is a yearly series of prediction markets listed on Polymarket. This page tracks the event trading now, the results of the last 7 that resolved — with the odds the market gave the winner 24 hours before close — and how often the favorite of that moment actually won. Over the last 7 resolved events where the price history proves who the favorite was 24 hours before close, the favorite won 7 of 7 (100%), priced at >99% on average.
Trading now
Bank of Canada Decision in October?No Change 82% · 25 bps increase 16% · 50+ bps decrease <1% — resolves Oct 28, 2026 · $162K traded
- Bank of Canada Decision in December? — No Change 53%, 25 bps increase 46%
Recent results
| Event | Resolved | Winner | Winner's odds 24h before | Favorite 24h before |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of Canada Decision in September? | Sep 2, 2026 | No Change | >99% | No Change >99% — won |
| Bank of Canada Decision in July? | Jul 15, 2026 | No Change | >99% | No Change >99% — won |
| Bank of Canada decision in June? | Jun 10, 2026 | No change | 99% | No change 99% — won |
| Bank of Canada decision in April? | Apr 29, 2026 | No change | >99% | No change >99% — won |
| Bank of Canada decision in March? | Mar 18, 2026 | No change | 98% | No change 98% — won |
| Bank of Canada decision in January? | Jan 28, 2026 | No change | 98% | No change 98% — won |
| Bank of Canada decision in December? | Dec 10, 2025 | No change | 99% | No change 99% — won |
Sources: settlements and events from Polymarket's public Gamma API; odds 24 hours before close (the earlier of the scheduled end and the actual close) from Polymarket's public CLOB price history. A “—” means the price history doesn't prove it, so that event is left out of the favorite count rather than estimated.