Economy · Ends Dec 9

Will the Bank of Canada change its interest rate in December?

The Bank of Canada's December 2026 announcement decides whether its target overnight rate stays the same, rises or falls, and by how much.

On Polymarket as “Bank of Canada Decision in December?”

Bank of Canada decision: past results and how often the favorite won →

What do you think happens?

Only one of these will happen. YES = it happens · NO = it doesn't.

No change▼ 4 today

Up 0.25 points▲ 5 today

Show 3 more under 1%

Down 0.25 points

Up 0.50 points or more

Down 0.50 points or more

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “No change” at 61% → if it happens you get $16.39 (+$6.39). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

Settled by the Bank of Canada's official statement or release for its December 2026 rate announcement, scheduled for Dec 9, 2026. Source ↗

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight rate resulting from the December 2026 interest rate announcement of the Bank of Canada, relative to the level it was prior to this announcement. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Canada, including the statement or release from its December 2026 interest rate announcement, scheduled for December 9, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar (https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Canada resulting from its December 2026 interest rate decision with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified announcement is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed announcement. If the specified announcement is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled announcement, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified announcement will not be considered.

$183K traded since it opened · $88K today