Politics · Ends Dec 31

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

The market gives “Yes” a 1% chance (up 0.3 points in 24 hours).

What do you think?

Yes = it happens · No = it doesn't

1%chance of Yes, according to the market

Your money, explained

Put $10 on Yes at 1% → if it happens you get $909.09 (+$899.09). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result when the question closes on Dec 31, 2026, US Eastern time.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

$114K traded since it opened · $380 today