All predictions

Tech & AI · Ends Dec 31

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Most likely: Brian Armstrong - Coinbase at 5%, then Andy Jassy - Amazon at 5% and Sundar Pichai - Google at 4%.

What do you think happens?

Each line is its own yes-or-no question.

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase
Andy Jassy - Amazon
Sundar Pichai - Google
Dan Clancy - Twitch
Sam Altman - OpenAI▼ 2 today

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “Brian Armstrong - Coinbase” at 5% → if it happens you get $206.19 (+$196.19). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result when the question closes on Dec 31, 2026, US Eastern time.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

$723K traded since it opened · $987 today

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.