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Politics · binary

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Vol total$158K
Vol 24h$219
Liquidity$1K
Resolves121d

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Prediction

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.2100
Shares (est)23.81
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$18.81
If Yes wins pays$23.81
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Price history+8.00% · 1W
11%14%17%20%23%Aug 25Aug 26Aug 28Aug 29Aug 30Sep 1

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pierre Poilievre ceases to be Leader of the Conservative Party of Canada for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pierre Poilievre's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pierre Poilievre and the Conservative Party of Canada; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.