Culture · Ends Mar 14

Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations

Most likely: The Debut at 92%, then Wild Horse Nine at 88% and Obsession at 54%.

What do you think happens?

Each line is its own yes-or-no question.

The Debut

Wild Horse Nine

Obsession

Club Kid

Fjord

Elsinore▲ 4 today

Josephine

Digger▲ 4 today

Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma▼ 1 today

Behemoth!▲ 2 today

The Drama▼ 1 today

Forgotten Island▲ 1 today

The Odyssey

The Invite

A Place in Hell

The Black Ball

Fatherland

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “The Debut” at 92% → if it happens you get $10.84 (+$0.84). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

It's settled by the official result when the question closes on Mar 14, 2027, US Eastern time.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$100K traded since it opened · $999 today